Sure it’s early, but a new poll released yesterday shows presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee Barack Obama with a 13 point lead over Republican nominee John McCain:
In the inaugural UW Dept. of Political Science/WisPolitics.com survey taken immediately after Hillary Clinton suspended her campaign, Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 13-percentage point margin in the Badger state.
The survey of 506 randomly selected probable voters was conducted by phone from June 8- June 10 under the direction of Charles Franklin and Ken Goldstein from the University of Wisconsin Department of Political Science (www.polisci.wisc.edu). It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
As I said, it’s early, but I’m going to go out on a limb and make a prediction that Obama wins Wisconsin in November, 55% to 45% for McCain. Sure, I could probably end up looking like a fool in November, or I could end up being pretty damn close.
These early season predictions . . . I don’t know.
I tend to agree with your prediction, but don’t like making them myself.
Oh well, I hope you are right.