Walker Recall an Uphill Battle

Polling numbers from Public Policy Polling show the chances of recalling Governor Walker are slim unless Russ Feingold changes his mind and enters the race.  Walker is still unpopular, just not unpopular enough.

PPP, a reputable polling organization, conducted surveys of Wisconsin voters from October 20th to the 23rd and found the state evenly split on whether or not Governor Walker should be recalled.  And the only viable candidate they identified who could beat Walker is former Senator Russ Feingold.

Would you support or oppose recalling Scott Walker from office before his term is up?
Support ………………………………………………….. 48%
Oppose ………………………………………………….. 49%
Not sure………………………………………………….. 3%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Peter Barca, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 48%
Peter Barca …………………………………………… 42%
Undecided …………………………………………….. 10%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Tom Barrett, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 48%
Tom Barrett …………………………………………….. 46%
Undecided………………………………………………. 6%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Jon Erpenbach, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 47%
Jon Erpenbach………………………………………… 40%
Undecided………………………………………………. 13%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Kathleen Falk, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 49%
Kathleen Falk…………………………………………..41%
Undecided………………………………………………. 10%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Russ Feingold, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 46%
Russ Feingold …………………………………………. 49%
Undecided………………………………………………. 5%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Steve Kagen, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 47%
Steve Kagen …………………………………………… 39%
Undecided………………………………………………. 14%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Ron Kind, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 47%
Ron Kind…………………………………………………41%
Undecided………………………………………………. 12%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat David Obey, who would you vote for?
Scott Walker …………………………………………… 47%
David Obey …………………………………………….. 42%
Undecided………………………………………………. 10%

The only upside is that a number of these Democrats don’t have great name recognition yet. But it’s surprising to me that Walker has such strong support.

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12 thoughts on “Walker Recall an Uphill Battle

  1. A recall elections are tough propositions in the first place. I can’t see more established candidates such as Barrett or Feingold running as they would have too much to lose if their candidacy is unsuccessful.

    “Your’re ideal candidate is either a young up and coming candidate who is looking to establish a state wide presence. Even a loss could be a win for such a candidate as long as its close. Or alternatively, an over the hill candidate looking for one more moment in the sun. If they lose they simply ride off into the sunset of the retirement village.

    1. That young guy, relatively speaking might be Ron Kind. He is somewhat of a moderate I know but I think we need that kind right now. Too far left spooks people.

      I guess I am not too surprised to see that level of support for walker. So many are so happy he is keeping taxes down-to the point of risking our our environment and the people’s health.

      That old mantra of low taxes is a keeper. Dam!

  2. The recall will be successful. All good things take hard work. We’re ready to get rid of this sociopathic narcissist and then he can go work on fox nuze.

    1. Walker already seems to be preparing to move up to the national level. He likes himself and thinks he is important.

  3. Slim? A current guv can’t even break 50% in a landline-only poll 7 months before an election. Any other case, and we’d say it’s the INCUMBENT that is unlikely to win.

    Then add that few undecideds are really gonna vote for a bum like Walker, and that PPP (while good on the recall elections) still slant Repub. +5 or so on these landline-only polls, and the numbers are just fine.

    We just gotta keep telling the truth. Stop staring at your navel and keep working hard, and we’ll get this state back. Especially once people see in February that their taxes did not go down….unless their income did.

  4. Look at the poll crosstabs, and you’ll see Walker loses moderates by 22-30 points, and 40 POINTS to Feingold. The only reason he “leads” is because the poll sample was 42% conservative. Does anyone really think the voting populace for this election will be 42% conservative (i.e. you think Dems will sit this one out like they did in 2010? Uhhh, don’t think so).

    By the way, here’s PPP’s statewide poll 3 days before the election in 2010.

    PPP Predictions
    Walker 53-44
    Johnson 53-44

    Actual
    Walker 52.25-46.5 (PPP was R+3.25)
    Johnson 51-47 (PPP was R +5)

    When a lot of white conservatives are the ones picking up the phone on a gorgeous weekend, it tends to be a bit skewed for the red team. We’re fine.

    1. Good to know, thanks for pulling that data. Now, if we can just convince Russ to run… 🙂

    2. Jake’s right. The other factor to consider is that Walker, as the incumbent with about a 99% name recognition (in America, much less WI!), and judging by the consistency across the different matchups listed, is pretty much at his ceiling at 47-48%.

  5. I also agree with Jake we are fine. We are a fairly divided state anyway so every election going forward will be close. It will come down to turnout and I have no doubt that the blue team will be energized,

    1. No doubt, but the Red team will have a full-frontal lobotomy.. Wait… No.. Strike that. They’ve already had the lobotomy. It’s a requirement to be a Republican.

      I meant to say a full-frontal assault complete with zombie lies, massive reality distortion field generators and countless untruths to spread.

      So we had beter be prepared…

      1. zombie lies, massive reality distortion field generators and countless untruths to spread.

        Ah, but you repeat yourself, as these are also prerequisites for membership in the mainstream of the GOP these days! 😉

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