Nate Silver of Five Thirty Eight has a fascinating analysis of support for the public option in each congressional district. Here’s an extract of the key points to his analysis
- “Six polls reveal a strong relationship between the public option and support for Barack Obama last November.”
- “There also appears to be a secondary relationship between support for the public option and the poverty rate.”
- “This analysis finds that support for the public opti0n nationwide is about 55 percent, against 36 percent opposed.”
- “The public option is estimated to have plurality support of 291 of the 435 Congressional Districts nationwide, or almost exactly two-thirds.” (not sure about the almost exactly, but I respect Nate Silver’s analysis)
If I were Paul Ryan, I’d be concerned by the results in his district, where using Nate Silver’s logistic regression analysis, the public option is supported by 47% vs. 42% opposed.
Here are the results for all Wisconsin Districts.