Tag: Nate Silver

What will a Democratic “victory” look like in November? That’s a question I’ve been finding myself pondering lately, and as Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight notes, “victory” for Democrats could be defined using any number of criteria: Obviously, there are some overly literal ways to interpret this question. One could say…

Historic trends point to Republican House gains in the 2010 midterm election, but how big will those gains be? Over the last five decades, the party out of power has picked up seats in 10 of the 12 midterm elections, and in 1994 Republicans took control of the House of…