So apparently far-right extremist Republican Dan Sebring, who has decided to run yet again against incumbent Democratic Rep. Gwen Moore in 2014, has a new ad running on the internet. In the ad, an actor impersonating Mr. T says he pities the fool who doesn’t vote for Dan Sebring, followed by a message from Sebring explaining that a Republicancan win in the fourth Congressional district.
While Dan Sebring may be delusional enough to believe a Republican can win in the fourth Congressional district, reality paints a much different story. After all, Rep. Moore beat Sebring by nearly 40 percentage points in 2010 (69.1% to 29.6%) and then followed that electoral drubbing up with an even more resounding win in 2012, beating Sebring by a margin of 72.2% to just 24.8% for Sebring.
According to the 2014 Cook Partisan Voter Index, the fourth Congressional district is a +23 Democratic district, but I’m betting that Dan Sebring will underperform and still lose by at least 40 percentage points in 2014. After all, he’s a lackluster candidate with a bunch of baggage, and voters in the fourth Congressional district clearly don’t like what they see in Dan Sebring.